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Predictions Baltimore Test

Started by Denny33 REPLIES176 VIEWS· 10 Sept 2026, 11:30
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DE
DennyCaptain13,170 posts
10 Sept 2026, 11:30
#1
10 Sept 2026, 11:30#1

Hard to imagine the ABs pulling off a win here with so many injuries, especially losing their star player and captain, Savea.

Boks x 12

DE
Captain13,170 posts
Denny10 Sept 2026, 19:53

Heya AJ.....get well soon, miss your input in our cricket section.

DbDraad
Captain26,964 posts
DbDraad13 Sept 2026, 00:25

@clevermike ...you got it spot on!...congrats Maaik!🍻🍾

DbDraad
DbDraadCaptain26,964 posts
10 Sept 2026, 21:03
#2
10 Sept 2026, 21:03#2

...one nagging statistic...when last did and how often does NZ lose 3 in a row?

bobbok
Captain10,628 posts
bobbok10 Sept 2026, 19:51

When Was the Last Time?The All Blacks lost three games in a row across a stretch that started with two defeats against Ireland (July 9 and July 16, 2022) and continued into the Rugby Championship with a loss to South Africa (August 6, 2022).

DE
Captain13,170 posts
Denny10 Sept 2026, 19:56

It's our golden era......someone should hang up a sign.....'Do not disturb, work in progress' - Bokke.

SA
Captain30,928 posts
Saffolk 12 Sept 2026, 12:25

@bobbok and the last time we played them in the States we lost - Rassie’s first loss if memory serves me correctly

Deus Ex Lemur
Deus Ex LemurPro2,486 posts
11 Sept 2026, 00:13
#3
11 Sept 2026, 00:13#3

As much as South Africa possess the greater pool of talent, Erasmus still hasn't delivered the best of what we have to offer. On paper, the Boks should be capable of beating New Zealand convincingly, but there remains a soft underbelly that the All Blacks are more than capable of carving open. Our defence has been far too porous, and New Zealand are precisely the sort of side that can punish it.

I still predict the Boks to win by five, but New Zealand cannot be underestimated. The Boks have an unfortunate habit of coming undone just when it looks as though they've finally got a firm grip on things. There is enough talent in this side to win comfortably; whether we actually put it all together is another matter.

Prediction: South Africa by 5.

bobbok
bobbokCaptain10,628 posts
11 Sept 2026, 02:34
#4
11 Sept 2026, 02:34#4

SA 37 - 27 NZ

bobbok
Captain10,628 posts
bobbok13 Sept 2026, 00:16

cough cough .....

KI
kingcornPro3,861 posts
11 Sept 2026, 10:52
#5
11 Sept 2026, 10:52#5

Well, we finally have a technical 9, not the best in the world, but a 9 that can get speed off the base and actually do proper box kicks.

Sasha is still at 10, but maybe this is the game he comes good.

Dud and Jessica has showed what they can do if give space and time. So hopefully we can get the ball out to them more often. I thought their days were number, but watching Dud fending, rounding, drawing and passing to put Arendse away was a thing of beauty.

We did start see better play between the backs and forwards, balls actually being passed in the last game, great break by Wiese, Off load to Ox, although a bit of bobble, and then Manie cutting the last few defenders only to lose his balance and not see his supporting runner.

Think the boks should blow the ABs off the park if Sasha can control his impulses and not try to take them on in the first second but tire them out not the other way around where we punch ourselves out.

Can't fault our pack at all. Backline is solid, Willemse is back, Hooker and Arendse is on form. NZ has a lot to claw back and this will be their 10th game, long tour, players injured and so on. Not sure of the new players will inject much energy, we know what 6 weeks on the road does to players.

Deus Ex Lemur
Pro2,486 posts
Deus Ex Lemur11 Sept 2026, 09:05

I think we'd be better off bypassing Damian and having Willemse come into the line. The attack wasn't good last week for most of the game as far as structured play is concerned.

Pakie
Captain18,305 posts
Pakie11 Sept 2026, 10:32

We don't have the Carter gimme again (maybe we have a Moorby gimme this time, who knows). Both the Arendse try and Kriel try were scored off static ball, we were literally tossing standing passes to standing receivers (Kriel try - Sacha standing passing to Manie standing who passes to Kriel standing) and one guy who can't tackle missed 3 tackles in the sequences that built those two tries. As Deus says, there's still not much to the Bok attack. But if you get physical mismatches against incompetent defenders going, even the standing pass will get you there.

MO
moolaaPro2,432 posts
12 Sept 2026, 07:44
#6
12 Sept 2026, 07:44#6

25-15 Boks. Can’t see us improving with all the new players sadly.
Hope springs eternal…….

Rooinek
RooinekCaptain18,826 posts
12 Sept 2026, 08:54
#7
12 Sept 2026, 08:54#7

Boks by 5.

We'll win but it won't be a Baltimoer.

Plum
PlumCaptain22,055 posts
12 Sept 2026, 09:26
#8
12 Sept 2026, 09:26#8

It's all stacked against the the ABs

...they've lost the ref battle.
...they've lost good players.
...they've lost the physical battle.
...they've been on the road for a long time.
...they've gradually been able to do less of what they want.

The contrarian in me says that all of this makes them more dangerous.

But the mind says this should be 12 pointer in Boks favour.

Dickson is the ref. He was pedantic as hell in the Stormers game, and that played massively into the Stormers advantage. If he calls the AB side entries and obstructions, this could be a blowout. But I'll assume that won't happen...

34-22 to the Boks

Deus Ex Lemur
Pro2,486 posts
Deus Ex Lemur12 Sept 2026, 09:40

I predict a Bok win, although I'd have considerably more conviction in that prediction if we were fielding something resembling our best side. There are simply too many players in this team capable of producing the sort of individual implosion that can unravel an entire result, and the All Blacks remain more than capable of exploiting those weaknesses.

Historically, the Boks have also had an unfortunate habit of capitulating just when confidence is at its highest. Whenever we begin talking as though victory is a formality, I start getting nervous.

That said, if they come out with the same aggression, intensity and physical authority they showed in the first half of the opening Test, I'm confident they'll steamroll this All Black side. The question isn't whether the Boks have the firepower to do it — it's whether they can sustain it for 80 minutes without getting in their own way.

bobbok
bobbokCaptain10,628 posts
12 Sept 2026, 11:56
#9
12 Sept 2026, 11:56#9

From an Os to an Ox ... kan 'n mens dan nie ...

DbDraad
Captain26,964 posts
DbDraad12 Sept 2026, 11:11

...and a Beast ook... 👀

KI
kingcornPro3,861 posts
12 Sept 2026, 12:21
#10
12 Sept 2026, 12:21#10

Saw a lot on the 1st and 2nd test ref calls. Tons of side entry and the scrum interference.
Agree with @Deus Ex Lemur . We haven't seen much structured play, but there were hints of it.

So I think Refs still play a big role.

No reason for the boks to lose this game. They are more experienced, tested and only starting to peak now.

A lot of journo waxing lyrical about how great these guys are, but they are not.

I expect an 80 min performance

BE
Beeno1Captain40,395 posts
12 Sept 2026, 14:07
#11
12 Sept 2026, 14:07#11

So much depends on the ref blowing fairly and competently.
Kingcorn please don't follow DUD Mozzie by calling a Bok great like Allende dud. Denigrating a 100 test Bok great with animosity like the very DUD Mozzie has done for years is not a path to follow. Thanks.
I see the bitter Deus and the hapless plonker Pakster having yet another go at Rassie. These two clowns can't help themselves! So deluded are these mongs that they firstly think they always know better than Rassie and secondly, they are incapable of learning from their many judgemental mistakes relating to Rassie and are unable to aplogise and turn over a new leaf.
Thank goodness for a sensible post from Plumpster! Kingcorn's post also pretty decent apart from the use of the word DUD.
Personally I think we should do even better this test. Maybe Boks by 15. We shall see.

BE
Captain40,395 posts
Beeno113 Sept 2026, 05:54

@Deus Ex Lemur Daft Deus you are an incredibly biased one eyed commentator. Hence your affinity to DUD Mozzie.
I can easily tolerate a person disagreeing with Rassie and I myself sometimes have different views. but I do not easily tolerate unmitigated bias day after day year after year. That is your huge problem. It's the bias. The never ending belittling, undermining and smears and daft analysis.
You gave yourself away completely with your epic meltdown after Rassie second RWC and stormed off in a hisdy fit when corrected. I am sure you remember all to well.

BE
Captain40,395 posts
Beeno113 Sept 2026, 06:01

@Plum Dumpster I am not impressed withong detailed posts filled with bias and drivel.
Some of the nonsense spewed about Rassie the Boks is beyond hilarious.

DbDraad
DbDraadCaptain26,964 posts
12 Sept 2026, 21:02
#12
12 Sept 2026, 21:02#12

image

DbDraad
DbDraadCaptain26,964 posts
12 Sept 2026, 21:03
#13
12 Sept 2026, 21:03#13

Looks like a home game. 👀

— END OF THREAD —

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